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KMID : 1001320170440030069
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Social Welfare Policy
2017 Volume.44 No. 3 p.69 ~ p.98
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The impact of globalization and technological change on the NEET probability: Focusing on the moderating effect of social policies
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Park Mi-Hee
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Abstract
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This study examines the impact of globalization and technological change on the probablity of young people falling into NEET and how these influences vary with education, labor market and welfare system. To this end, this study used a multilevel linear probability model using LIS (Luxembourg Income Study) database. This study included 331,611 young people aged 18 to 34 who belong to 81 datasets from 22 OECD countries. This study hypothesized that globalization and technological change would affect the probability of young people falling into NEET. However, this hypothesis was statistically insignificant. The result of examining the moderating effects of social policies are as follows: (a) The higher the level of collective bargaining, the higher the generosity of the benefit level and the unemployment insurance system, technological change lowered the youth NEET probability. (b) The higher the ratio of vocational education and the higher the generosity of the unemployment benefit system, globalization increased the NEET probability. However the higher the collective bargaining coverage, globalization decreased the youth NEET probability.
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KEYWORD
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youth NEETs, jobless youth, globalization, technological change, multilevel model, determinants, moderating effects
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